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AFL Talk - February 2008

Who Will Go Gently Into That Good Night?

February 29th 2008 02:04
PART ONE

I have compiled a list of players - one from every team - for whom 2008 will be a make or break year. It is a talented list. Some of the players have been unlucky, either starved of opportunities or ravaged by injury. Others have promised greatness but haven't delivered. Many of the players were taken early in the draft. The one quality that they have in common is that none of them have consistently proven that they are capable of performing at the highest level. For the following list of players, 2008 will be about proving to experts, supporters, and - above all else - themselves that they belong:


Adelaide - Ivan Maric

With Ben Hudson leaving the club and Rhett Biglands suffering a career-threatening knee injury, the onus is on Maric to hold down the Crows number one ruck position. He has displayed strong form in the SANFL over the past two seasons, but has been unable to produce the goods in the seniors. Maric has a great opportunity to cement his position in the team above the unfancied Griffin and Moran.

Brisbane - Justin Sherman

Sherman burst onto the scene three seasons ago as an eighteen year-old, playing every game for the struggling Lions. He immediately became a crowd favourite at the Gabba. Sherman had broad shoulders, pace, good foot skills and possessed the ability to break the game open with his tireless running. Sherman was earmarked as a future star at the Lions. Halfway through 2007 Sherman fell off the face of the earth. He was dropped to the reserves, barely to be sighted again. The reasons for Sherman's poor form remain a mystery.

Carlton - Cameron Cloke

Cloke was delisted after three years at Collingwood. He was drafted by Carlton to assist Cain Ackland in the ruck in 2007. Cloke suffered a season-ending shoulder injury at the beginning of the season. Ackland was terrible in his absence. Cloke was given a one year contract at the start of this year. This is his last chance. Question marks remain over his fitness and severe lack of pace. Cloke should be hungry, but with Kreuzer in the wings, will have to perform to gain another contract.


Collingwood - Sean Rusling

Rusling is very talented. His 2007 season was ruined by injury. He returned in round 20 and had an immediate impact against the Swans. At his best, Rusling forms a formidable forward line alongside the likes of Rocca, Cloke and Didak. He is fast and good on the lead. His kicking can be erratic. Rusling must learn to play below his feet. In the semi-final against West Coast Rusling looked disinterested and was soundly beaten by Daniel Chick. Thus far Rusling has promised a lot, but delivered little. His performances have been affected by injuries. Rusling must kick 30-40 goals for this season to be considered a success.

Essendon - Courtney Johns

Johns was held in high regard as a youngster. He drew comparisons with Jonathon Brown. A chronic hip injury plagued Johns for several years. Kevin Sheedy took a chance and was patient, stating that he would wait as long as it took to ensure Johns one day wore the Essendon jumper. Unfortunately, Johns has been unable to peform consisently at the highest level. Last year Matthew Knights played Johns at centre half back in the VFL. The move had varied success. Johns must cement his position this year. With Lloyd, Lucas, Fletcher and Michael, it will be difficult to find a position in the team. Who knows what might have been?

Fremantle - Byron Shammer

A native South Australian, many were surprised when Shammer was overlooked by Adelaide and Port in the draft. He was selected at pick 14 by Fremantle five years ago. In his first few seasons Shammer showed glimpses of talent and was earmarked as a future star. Like his club in recent years, Shammer has failed to deliver. He is a good second tier player, but Shammer will this year audition for Peter Bell's role in the midfield for 2009. If he fails to deliver he could be traded to one of the Adelaide teams on the cheap.

Geelong - Kane Tenace

Tenace is entering his fifth season in 2008. Like other top ten draft picks of his year - Bradley, R.Clarke, Dunne - he has been a dissappointment. Tenace initially burst onto the scene at Geelong with his dashing runs down the wing. Last year Tenace played the first half of the year before succumbing to injury. It will be difficult to break into the Cat's line-up this year (he is fighting with Wodjinski for the half-back flank role). Those at Geelong believe Tenace is too soft. His name was mentioned during trade week. The Cats kept him. There must have been a reason.

Hawthorn - Zac Dawson

In 2006 Zac Dawson became famous for all the wrong reasons. Alastair Clarkson refused to move Dawson off a rampant Anthony Rocca as Collingwood overhaluded Hawthorn at the Telstra Dome. Rocca finished with eight goals. Dawson played the majority of that season, but struggled to contain the competition's best forwards on a weekly basis. Last year he was replaced by Gilham at full back. Hawthorn's back line looked solid without Dawson. It will be difficult for Dawson to break back into the team in 2008.

*PART TWO to appear in the next edition.

Thankyou for reading.
-MM
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Hawks Punt On A Dew

February 27th 2008 03:47

At the end of the 2004 season the bottom three teams were Hawthorn, Richmond and the Western Bulldogs. Peter Schwab, Danny Frawley and Peter Rohde subsequently lost their jobs. What followed was a ruthless battle to obtain the signatures of career coaches Terry Wallace and Rodney Eade. The Tigers secured Wallace's signature by offering an unprecedented five-year contract. The Bulldogs literally locked Eade in a room to ensure that he would not receive calls from rival clubs. The Hawks were left to decide between the untried Allastair Clarkson and Gary Ayres. They opted for Clarkson in a move that appeared to make him somewhat of a sacraficial lamb in the broader hope of securing the services of club legend Leigh Matthews.

Richmond and the Western Bulldogs climbed the ladder in 2005, leaving Hawthorn still languishing down the bottom of the ladder. Eade and Wallace were hailed as saviours, while Clarkson's coaching credentials were consistently mocked in the media. Three years later it is Hawthorn who are seemingly mounting a challenge for an AFL premiership, while Richmond and the Bulldogs are trying to recover from disasterous campaigns in 2007. Dissappointing seasons in 2008 would definately spell the end for Wallace and Eade. Despite a tense relationship with his president, Clarkson's job appears to be the safest of the three. From the outset he was willing to trade seasoned campaigners - Thompson, Hay, Everitt - to secure the best young talent in the country. The lamb may not be sacrificed after all.

The 2007 National draft was the first time since Clarkson took over that the Hawks have drafted a player over the age of twenty-five. With their third and final selection (number 45 overall) they took Stuart Dew, complementing youngsters Cyril Rioli (pick 12) and Brendan Whitecross (pick 29). Prior to selecting Dew in the draft, the Hawthorn hierarchy requested extra time to discuss their decision. Television cameras captured a heated debate between Clarkson and his assistants. Finally, through Clarkson's urging, the Hawks selected Dew. The decision was by no means unanimous. In selecting the twenty-eight year old, retired, former Port Adelaide player, Clarkson sent a clear message to the football world: The Hawks premiership window is well and truly open.

Stuart Dew played ten seasons with Port Adealide and managed 180 matches. He began as a half-back flanker who used his potent left foot to break the lines. During the second half of his career at the Power he was transformed into a pinch-hitting forward, capable of kicking goals from outside fifty metres. Dew regularly tormented the likes of Essendon and Geelong with his blend of football smarts and raw ability. Dew played an important role in Port Adelaide's 2004 Premiership. At the end of 2006 Dew announced his shock retirement. The Power had dropped out of the finals and seemed intent on rebuilding. Dew said that he no longer had the desire to train and play at the highest level.

By mid 2007 Dew had moved to America with his partner. His weight had ballooned to an alleged 127 kilograms. Retirement was treating him well. Too well. It came as a great shock to the football world when Dew announced that he had nominated for November's national draft. He had already shed ten kilograms, a feat that convinced Clarkson of his desire to play at the highest level once more. Clarkson had a strong relationship with Dew from his time at the Power and was eager to add some experience to the team in the wake of retirements from Vandenberg, Smith and Dixon.

Dew seems likely to replace Ben Dixon in Hawthorn's forward line. He is within sight of his old playing weight and is a chance to make his debut in Hawthorn's NAB Cup semi final against Adelaide this weekend. At his best, Dew is a potent weapon, capable of unleashing sixty metre left foot kicks lace out to teammates. At his worst he is an unfit, lazy and laconic footballer. The public loves a comeback. Tony Lockett tried unsuccessfully in 2002. But Dew is younger and, marginally, leaner. Dew only has one or two seasons left in his body. But it might be enough. He has the opportunity to play in a second premiership. The Hawks hope that he will share his experience with the younger players, enabling a genuine premiership tilt. If the punt salutes, Clarkson will be praised for his ambition. If not, perhaps the lamb will be sacrificed?

Thankyou for reading.
-MM
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NAB Cup - Week Two

February 25th 2008 10:22
Monday's column provides a round-up of the weekend's matches. They are as follows:

1. Who wants to win?

Four teams remain in the NAB Cup - Essendon, Hawthorn, St. Kilda and Adelaide. It remains to be seen whether all four sides want to win the competition. For Hawthorn, winning the pre-season premiership would only serve to heighten the expectations for the year ahead. Alastair Calrkson might want to stear clear of such publicity by suffering an honourable defeat to the Crows this week. Conversely, Essendon seems to be taking the competition quite seriously. A win over St. Kilda would mean a boost in membership and might provide its young list with the confidence required to have a tilt at the finals.

Adelaide are in great form. They are playing seasoned campaigners Goodwin, McLeaod and Edwards as forwards and allowing their youngsters to roam in the midfield. They are fit, well-drilled and seem to be the team to beat. The Crows ruck stocks are thin. Throughout the year they will have to rely on Maric, Griffin and Moran, none of whom are proven performers. Despite this hurdle, they are likely to beat the Hawks this week. St. Kilda have so far rested a number of big names. Their 5-point defeat of Geelong should not be held in high regard. Coach Ross Lyon has displayed a nonchalent attitude with the media so far and will lose Gehrig, Hudghton and probably Koschitzke this week. It is likely to be an Adelaide versus Essendon grand final.

The sizeable increase in prizemoney should provide every incentive for these two teams to go all the way.

2. What to make of Essendon's early season form?

On Friday night Essendon destroyed the Western Bulldogs. Scott Lucas was the architect up forward, kicking three super goals in his tally of five. With Lucas and Lloyd up forward and Michael and Fletcher in defence, the Bombers should have a good spine in 2008. What remains to be seen is how they are going to overcome their lack of pace in the midfield. Since the 2000 premiership the Bombers have struggled for pace in the midfield. The recent axings of Dean Soloman and Mark Johnson - both good players in their prime - are testament to the need for speed at Windy Hill.

Over the summer Matthew Knights has imposed a stringent fitness regime. He seems determined to transform the Bombers into a fit, running outfit in 2008. So far so good. Knights will want to exploit the pace of the likes of Lovett, Winderlecht, Dyson, Davey and Jetta. All five players seem destined to spend time in the midfield. The hope is that the harder bodies of Watson, J.Johnson and Stanton will provide adequate service to the Dons' running brigade. Many question marks still hang over Essendon's capacity to compete with the better midfields in the competition. Matthew Knights was given the job because of his insistence that the Bombers did not need to bottom out. He will be hoping that Essendon will be able to carry their pre-season form into the regular season. Otherwise it will be difficult to justify his appointment over the more fancied Damien Hardwick as coach.

3. The emergence of James Sellar

James Sellar was taken by the Adelaide Crows with pick 14 in the 2006 national draft. Many experts were surprised that Sellar lasted long enough to be captured by his home town club. Sellar has good sporting pedigree. He captained the South Australian Under 17 Volleyball team before turning his attention to Football. At 195 centimetres, he was drafted as a ruckmen, but seems likely to play more up forward. Sellar is still young - he turns 19 in March - but his two performances in the NAB cup will have Crows fans excited.

Sellar kicked three goals against Collingwood in the AFL's ill-fated Dubai experiment. He only bagged one on Sunday against the Dockers, but showed enough to suggest he will be a walk-up starter for round one. In the second quarter Sellar outmark the experienced Luke McPharline in the forward pocket before snapping truly from an acute angle. It showed a hint of class.

Sellar is a good athlete with a graet leap. His frame will eventually fill out and enable him to hold down a key forward or defensive role. With the ill-disciplined Scott Welsh's move to the Western Bulldogs and Trent Hentschel's return from a horrific knee injury, Sellar has a great opportunity to cement a place in the Crows team for the next ten years. Adelaide have been a strong team over the past three seasons under Neil Craig, but they have never possessed a key forward capable of breaking a game open. The Wayne Carey trade failed dismally for Gary Ayres, but finally Crows supporters have reason for optimism. Sellar is not ready yet, but he is definately a player of the future.

*Feature articles to follow on Wednesday and Friday.

Thankyou for reading.
-MM
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Did Carlton Get It Right?

February 21st 2008 04:22
On Tuesday Carlton appointed Chris Judd as captain for season 2008. The decision had been widely predicted ever since the Blues secured a deal for Judd in trade week. There is no doubt that Judd has the credentials. At 24, he has captained an AFL premiership, won a Brownlow Medal, won a Norm Smith Medal, and - prior to groin problems- was widely considered to be the best player in the competition. Judd's reputation has remained in tact in spite of West Coast's much-publicised off-field indiscretions. He is a quiet, level headed and, most importantly, modest champion. The only question that remains is: should Carlton have appointed a player as captain before he played a game for the club?

The Blues have struggled for leadership ever since Dennis Pagan took over in 2003. Aaron Hamill would have been the obvious choice as captain had he not defected to St. Kilda in 2002. His presence was sorely missed. Andrew McKay briefly took the reigns before his retirement. Anthony Koutoufides' time in charge was plagued by the club's on-field woes and his own struggles with form and injury. Lance Whitnall was appointed captain in 2007 and endured a horrific season - on and off the field - that resulted in his early retirement. Can you imagine Chris Judd being embroiled in an egging controversy? What became abundantly clear was that Carlton needed a great leader to return them to the top of the AFL ladder


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Middleton's Top 50

February 18th 2008 08:00
Selecting the top 50 players in the competition is a task fraught with danger. Mike Sheehan's (Herald Sun) annual top 50 is inevitably met with much derision from the football public. Supporters know their players better than most so-called experts. Conversely, supporters are attached to their players and are quick to criticise 'experts' who leave out their favourites. In selecting a top 50 the most important rule is to set out the criteria. The following list has been judged on performances over the past 2-3 seasons. For instance Chris Judd's 2008 season was ruined by a chronic groin injury, but he has been judged the best player in the competition over the specified period. Midway through the year the list will be ammended according to performances. My top 50 players are as follows:

1. Chris Judd


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NAB Cup - Week One

February 18th 2008 02:05
Welcome to 'AFL Uncensored' - a blog that offers an informed, objective and uncensored analysis of the greatest game in the world.

In the wake of the first round of NAB Cup matches there have been several talking points


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