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AFL Talk - May 2008

The Final Eight

May 29th 2008 10:15
The results from round nine shed new light on the premiership race. Geelong, undefeated in its previous twelve matches, lost to Collingwood by 86 points. The all-conquering Hawks trailed bottom-of-the-ladder Melbourne for most of the day before securing a hard fought victory. The Western Bulldogs, the third undefeated team at the start of the round, lost to the Kangaroos when Brad Johnson missed a shot after the final siren. The fight for the 2008 premiership promises to be one of the closest in years. The results of round nine also suggested that the final eight is almost settled.

Aside from the three Victorian clubs at the top of the ladder, Adelaide have been the next impressive this season. Last weekend's shock loss to West Coast was probably a once-off. The Crows are a well-coached side who will win the majority of their home matches. The future for the club looks bright with young tall forwards Tippett and Sellar. The worst case scenario for the Crows is that they drop into the bottom half of the eight. Of the sides outside the top four, Collingwood appears to be the main contender. Malthouse repeatedly gets his team up for the big matches. They have a chorus of small, clever players that are capable of kicking crucial goals. Most importantly, the Pies continue to bring through young talent. There is every chance that Brown and Wellingham will be 200-game players.


Sydney's victory over Port Adelaide last weekend showed great team spirit. The Swans, like Adelaide, are a well-drilled side that comes to play every week. Sydney have struggled in Barry Hall's absence, but have remained in contention. Once Playfair and Schmidt are replaced by Hall and Davis the Swans will almost certainly make a late-season run. The Kangaroos, despite their seemingly inferior playing stocks, continue to play for the jumper. They win the games that they are supposed to win and sometimes they win the games they aren't supposed to win. It is difficult to see the Kangaroos missing out on September.


Brisbane has looked superb in their last two matches. This may owe something to the calibre of their opponents, but it should not be dismissed. Leigh Matthews has assembled a talented group of players that is definately on the way up again. Brown and Bradshaw are a formidable combination up forward. Roe and Drummond have returned in recent weeks to add height and agility in defence. Most importantly, Brisbane is a quick team. They wil be almost impossible to beat on hot days at the Gabba. Aside from Nigel Lappin, they are currently at full strength. Unless the Lions are struck by injuries they will gain a home final.

Of the teams outside the eight Port Adelaide is the most likely to challenge. However the Power have already lost six out of nine matches. They can only afford to lose four more matches for the season. It will be a tough ask. If anyone can orchestrate such a run it is Mark Williams. Carlton has shown improvement this season. Three of their wins have come against bottom teams. The Blues need to win at least eight matches this season. They are well on their way. Finals are not realistic. The one thing the Blues must do is secure the services of the man with the lowest I.Q in the competition. And finally, there is St. Kilda. According to their president they are rebuilding. According to their coach they are soft. According to John Ralph they have turned to stone. The Saints have a snowball's hope in hell.
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Round Nine

May 25th 2008 12:22

*Owing to artistic endeavors there will be no column until Friday. I look forward to your continued readership.


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The AFL Fringe Festival (Part 2)

May 22nd 2008 09:52

Kangaroos - Aaron Edwards

Edwards form in the opening rounds of the season was as expected. At times he looked like a star - taking huge marks and kicking goals - yet he also went missing for large periods of play. As usual, he stuggled to kick bags of goals. In round six Edwards suffered a broken leg against Sydney. He will miss the rest of the season. Although Edwards is a talented player, he is running out of time. He may lose some athleticism as a result of the broken leg.

Melbourne - Colin Sylvia

Sylvia was drafted alongside Brock McLean to be a big-bodied midfielder. With Brent Maloney also recruited by the Demons in the same year, they should have had three strong players at most centre bounces. While McLean has won the occasional match, both Maloney and Sylvia have struggled. Sylvia owes the Demons a lot. He was suspended pre-season for breaking the team curfew. His form since has been on a par with that of his team.

Port Adelaide - Damon White

White hasn't played yet this season. Despite losing their first four matches, the Power have shown confidence in their current group. With Tredrea, Motlop, Ebert and Westhoff up forward there is no room for another tall forward. White needs an injury to one of these players to stake his claim. His best hope might be to become a defender. He is running out of time and probably isn't quite up to playing regularly at AFL level.

Richmond - Jarrod Oakley- Nicholls

Similarly to White, Oakley-Nicholls is yet to break into the Tiger's line-up this season. While he has shown glimpses of form playing for Coburg in the VFL, he is a long way off gaining a promotion. The likes of Cotchin, Pettifer and Connors are competing for the same position in the side. Richmond's form has improved. Some of their younger players - Riewoldt, Tambling, Thursfield, White, Edwards - have contributed to this improvement. Oakley-Nichols has the rest of the season to save his career.

St. Kilda - Raphael Clarke

Dropped twice already, Clarke is one of the strangest footballers ever to play the game. His approach is casual, his decision making is non-existent and his career is almost over. Former coach Grant Thomas recently said that R.Clarke was the most gifted athlete that he had ever coached. While it may seem like a waste, it is almost time for the Saints to put Clarke out of his misery.

Sydney - Heath Grundy

Grundy started the season in the team but has lost his place in recent weeks. The Swans have not suffered their expected slide this season. While they have struggled since Barry Hall's act of thuggery, the younger players have stood up. Grundy looked promising in defence. He is a good size for a key position player, yet has been starved of opportunities at the Swans. With Barry, Richards and Roberts-Thompson ahead of him, it will be difficult for Grundy to break back into the Swans side.

West Coast Eagles - Jaymie Graham

Graham has played a couple of matches, but has looked out of the pace of the game. The Eagles have conceded the season - a decision which should allow Graham more of an opportunity to play in defence. Hunter and Glass will get the opposition's stars most weeks. This should allow Graham to play on the opposition's youngest and most raw forwards. On his current form there is no guarantee that he is capable of stopping them.

Western Bulldogs - Farren Ray

Ray has missed every match this season with injury. His side has not missed him. Similarly to Colin Sylvia, Ray is too higher pick to become a fringe player. The Dogs need him to come into the side soon to add to their running stocks when the season inevitably takes its toll on players such as Josh Hill. If Ray plays his cards right there is every chance for him to play finals football. He was named as an emergency last weekend. Once he gets in the team he must take his chance. It might be his last.
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The AFL Fringe Festival

May 20th 2008 12:09
On the eve of the season I wrote an article that listed one player from every team for whom 2008 would be a make or break season. With one third of the season completed, it is worth updating the progress of the sixteen players. The following is an assessment of the first eight players:

Adelaide - Ivan Maric


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Round Eight

May 18th 2008 21:23
After eight rounds the season is finally taking shape. Geelong and Hawthorn seem like the teams most likely. The Western Bulldogs have won consecutive interstate matches and must now be considered a genuine threat. At this point Adelaide is clearly the best of the interstate teams. The Crows have had a favourable draw so far, yet there is every chance that they will finish inside the top four. The current top eight seems unlikely to change much. The only side outside the top eight who appears to be a genuine challenger is Port Adelaide. However they can only afford to lose five more matches.

At the beginning of the season many experts predicted that St. Kilda and Fremantle would challenge Geelong for the premiership. The key to this assumption was that both sides endured disappointing 2007 campaigns. Geelong’s plight in 2007 seemed to sway the experts. The Cats were disappointing in 2006, which forced them to face a number of home truths. The club conducted a thorough internal investigation to find the reason behind their poor performances. In 2007 the Cats finally delivered on their talent. It is worth noting that both St. Kilda and Fremantle sacked their coaches. Geelong did not. Stability is usually the key


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Malceski To Face Bombers?

May 15th 2008 10:26
Tonight Sydney selected Nick Malceski in their extended squad to take on Essendon at the SCG on Sunday. There is no guarantee that Malceski wil play. He has been struggling with a virus all week and will undergo a fitness test on Friday. If he does play, his most likely destination is in the Swans' reserves. The fact that he has been named indicates how important he is to the team's structure. Although Sydney has won three matches out of seven (they also drew against the Kangaroos) in his absence, the side has been lacking their trademark run from defence. There is little doubt that a fit Malceski will improve the Swans fortunes, particularly in the absence of speahead Barry Hall.

Malceski ruptured the anterior cruciate in his right knee against Hawthorn in the first round of the NAB Cup. He was initially diagnosed with a season-ending knee injury. However Malceski, on advice from the Swans medical team, did not opt for a total knee reconstruction. Instead he underwent a partial reconstruction, which placed him on track for a quicker recovery, but also involved greater risks. Only the Swans know the full extent of the risk they have taken. The fact that no other team in the competition encourages such surgery speaks for itself


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Cool, Calm, Collected

May 13th 2008 12:23
This afternoon Alastair Clarkson signed a three year extension to his contract as Hawthorn coach. The deal will take Clarkson through to the end of the 2011 season. Hawthorn has won seven matches in a row. The only other undefeated team are 2007 premiers Geelong. The Hawks have a list bulging with talent. Although they are already one of the best teams in the competition, there is huge room for improvement. By the time that Clarkson’s next contract is up there is every possibility that he will be a premiership coach.

This is Clarkson’s third contract. When he was first appointed coach the Hawks were widely criticised for missing out on the more fancied Terry Wallace and Rodney Eade. Hawthorn, Richmond and the Western Bulldogs were the bottom three teams. All sought a new coach. Although season 2008 is yet to take shape entirely, all three clubs are moving in the right direction. Hawthorn and the Bulldogs sit comfortably in the top four. Richmond currently sits twelfth, but have shown signs of improvement in the past four matches


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The best five games of Justin Koschitzke's career came in 2005 during contract negotiations with his club. Following the five matches St. Kilda had little choice but to offer a lucrative contract. Carlton was one of a number of high profile clubs keen to secure the services of the promising Saint. Three years later Koschitzke has gone backwards. He is a player who seems to divide the football public. Some experts have cited his terrible run with injuries as an excuse for his poor form. Others have noted that Koschitzke's run of good form coincided with his stint as stand-in captain. It has even been suggested that Koschitzke plays his best football in the absence of Nick Reiwoldt.

Kosi's time is now. Nick Reiwoldt is out for a minimum of four weeks following a serious knee injury in the Saints' slender win against Richmond. There is a huge hole to fill - not only in ability, but also leadership. St. Kilda has won four out of seven matches and sits fifth on the ladder. They are, however, in terrible form. They have played five poor matches in a row. Early season predictions that St. Kilda would be in premiership contention were clearly misguided. Hawthorn, Geelong, Adelaide and the Bulldogs are streets ahead of St. Kilda. At this point their aim should be to make the eight. As far-fetched as it sounds, their hopes rest with one man


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The Future of State of Origin

May 8th 2008 08:54
Although Saturday's match between Victoria and the All Stars has been billed as a once off, it will provide an insight into the future, if any, of state of origin football. The most important figure as far as Andrew Demetriou is concerned, is the attendence. If any less than seventy thousand people attend the match, it will be considered a failure. As for the future of state of origin, the nature of the match itself will be the true marker.

The game should be a spectacle of the best footballers in the country. Injuries to the likes of Hodge, Abblett, Reiwoldt and Black have hurt the game. In recent years the most common issue with regard to reviving state of origin football has been: injuries. What if a star player is injured during the match? Are players who claim to be unavailable really injured? in the modern era - one supposedly defined by professionalism - a coach simply cannot afford to lose one of their players to an injury suffered in a match which is not played for four points


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Harvey A Victim Of His Own Hype

May 6th 2008 12:45
Following Fremantle's disasterous fadeout against Melbourne on Sunday their coach embarked on the talk show circuit. It was a brave move on Mark Harvey's behalf. His team - touted as a serious finals contender at the beginning of the season - has won only one match out of seven. Their season is almost over. The Dockers have the oldest list in the competition. They have too many talented players to intentionally bottom out. Trading the likes of Pavlich, McPharlin and Sandilands is not a viable option. The coach must now decide on the direction of the club. The first thing he must get right is his own approach.

It is rare for a coach to do the double on a Monday night; to be the guest on 'On The Couch' and 'Footy Classified'. In hindsight, it was a big mistake. Harvey gave cold interviews on both shows. There is nothing to gain for a coach when his team is in such a dire position. The only objective is to assure supporters that he is prepared to face the heat. Although Harvey achieved this, he did not respond well. Robert Walls and Mike Sheehan gave Harvey a cold reception. Clearly the two men are not prepared to go easy on a new coach. Nor should they. Sheehan is always quick to latch on to a coach who treats the media with disdain. Whatever one thinks of Sheehan's attitude, Harvey must learn to appease the lieks of Sheehan and Walls


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Round Seven (Tall Forwards)

May 4th 2008 12:46
Over the past ten seasons the impact of tall forwards has significantly diminished. Long gone are the days when Tony Lockett, Gary Abblett and Jason Dunstall kicked one hundred goals in a season. During the period in which Sydney and West Coast were the dominant teams, the emphasis was on getting numbers behind the ball and surging forward when the opportunity arose. Geelong's 2007 premiership changed the way the game was played. Now the onus is on players to move the ball fast. For the first time in several years a number of forwards are on track to kick one hundred goals.

The likes of Lance Franklin, Brendan Fevola and Daniel Bradshaw are thriving. Bradshaw's last quarter performance against Port Adelaide showed what can happen if a strong forward is allowed to play one on one with his opponent inside fifty metres. It is difficult for a coach to orchestrate such a situation - and even more difficult to find players of the calibre of Lance Franklin to exploit it. The modern forward requires strength, pace, stamina and the ability to perform the uncanny. Fevola and Franklin - above all others - have the ability to kick one hundred goals in 2008. The only thing stopping them, barring injuries, is their own temperament


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The 19th Man

May 1st 2008 12:37
In the wake of last Sunday's draw between Sydney and North Melbourne both coaches suggested that their sides had got out of jail. The next day it was revealed that the Swans had played with nineteen men on the ground for a short period in the last two minutes of the match. The extra man on the field - Darren Jolly - was involved in the passage of play in which Brett Kirk kicked the behind that tied the match. In light of the development, there is little doubt that Dean Laidley's take on the two points would have altered considerably.

On Tuesday the AFL launched an investigation into the incident. The result was a fifty thousand dollar fine to the Swans. Although the fine seemed large, it was difficult to apply a penalty to the crime. How can the league put a price on two points? On 'Footy Classified' on Monday night Kangaroos chamption Glenn Archer suggested that the result might have huge consequences on the complexion of the ladder at the end of the season. He raised the possibility that his old club might miss out on the eight by two points. In such a situation the Kangaroos would have every right to feel cheated


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